@article {9061,
	title = {{\textquotedblleft}Stochastic Prediction and Estimation of Nonlinear Political Durations: An Application to the Lifetime of Bureaus{\textquotedblright}},
	journal = {Political Complexity},
	year = {2000},
	publisher = {University of Michigan Press  },
	address = {Ann Arbor},
	author = {Daniel Carpenter}
}
