Applied Stochastic Processes, Stochastic Models, and Bounded Rationality

Carpenter D. A Simple Theory of Placebo Learning with Self-Remitting Conditions. 2005.

placeboremit.pdf

Carpenter D, Grimmer J. Dynamic Stochastic Learning in Regulatory Optimization: Deadlines and Error with Continuous and Discrete Evidence. 2007.

deadline-theory-2007.pdf

Stochastic Models of Behavioral/Bounded Rationality

Adaptive Signal Processing, Hierarchy, and Budgetary Control in Federal Regulation, American Political Science Review, 90 (2) (June 1996): 283-302.

Winner of The Herbert Kaufman Award for Best Paper presented in the Public Administration Section, American Political Science Association annual meetings, August 1992, Chicago.
Winner of the Best Paper Award, Executive Politics Section, American Political Science Association annual meetings, August 1992, Chicago.

Stochastic Prediction and Estimation of Nonlinear Political...

Read more about Stochastic Models of Behavioral/Bounded Rationality

Carpenter D. “Adaptive Signal Processing Hierarchy and Budgetary Control in Federal Regulation”. American Political Science Review . 1996;90 (2) :283-302.

Carpenter D, Lewis D. “Political Learning from Rare Events: Poisson Inference Fiscal Constraints and the Lifetime of Bureaus”. Political Analysis. 2004;12 (3) :201-232.

Carpenter D. “Stochastic Prediction and Estimation of Nonlinear Political Durations: An Application to the Lifetime of Bureaus”. Political Complexity. 2000.

Carpenter D. “Protection without Capture: Dynamic Product Approval by a Politically Responsive Learning Regulator”. American Political Science Review . 2004;98 (4) :613-631.

protwoc-apsr-pub.pdf

Carpenter D, Meier K, Krause G. Why Do Bureaucrats Delay? Lessons from a Stochastic Optimal Stopping Model of Product Approval” forthcoming. 2003.

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